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Some claim that the gambler's fallacy is a cognitive bias produced by a psychological heuristic called the representativeness heuristic. Six full packs of cards of the same pattern are used, shuffled together. The players seat themselves round the table. In the centre is a basket for the reception of the used cards. If there is any question as to the relative positions of the players, it is decided by lot. The person who draws the first place seats himself next on the right hand of the croupier, and the rest follow in succession. It might be pointed out that where economic activity is concentrated in transfers of wealth rather than its creation, gambler's ruin results in most of the wealth being held by a very small number of participants. We see this in the stock market when speculative activity is the norm rather than long-term dividend producing investment Insurance is statistically a bad bet for the player who has no direct knowledge nor estimation (e.g. through card counting) of the dealer's 'hole card' because Insurance has a negative expected value for the player. Even for the player who has been dealt a natural (a two-card 21) it is unwise to take Insurance. In such a case, the dealer usually asks the player "Even money?" This means that instead of 3:2, the player with the natural accepts to be paid off at 2:2. Thus it is exactly the same thing as buying Insurance, losing the Insurance bet and getting paid 3:2 on the natural. (If the player with the natural refuses "even money", and the dealer turns over a natural, it is a tie.) Mathematics of blackjack Keep track of how much you've wagered! Conversely, a player may win his original bet and lose his Insurance bet: History Mathematics of blackjack If the 'Player' has an initial total of 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5, the 'Player' draws another card. Some of you may have heard about Cynthia Haines. Most of the online casinos know her name. Cynthia Haines is a woman from California who ran up $115,000 in credit card debts by gambling online. When it came time to pay up she refused. Caribbean Stud
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